Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for York City has a probability of 33.13% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest York City win is 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
41.81% ( -0.72) | 25.06% ( 0.03) | 33.13% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.46% ( 0.06) | 46.54% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.19% ( 0.06) | 68.81% ( -0.06) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% ( -0.31) | 22.21% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.37% ( -0.47) | 55.63% ( 0.48) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.08% ( 0.46) | 26.92% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% ( 0.6) | 62.24% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Barnet | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Rochdale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
5 | Gateshead | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
6 | Eastleigh | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
9 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Woking | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
16 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
18 | Boston UnitedBoston | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Tamworth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
23 | Fylde | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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