Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
43.92% ( -0.17) | 23.72% ( -0.01) | 32.35% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% ( 0.11) | 40.59% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% ( 0.11) | 62.97% ( -0.12) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( -0.03) | 18.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.81% ( -0.04) | 50.18% ( 0.04) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( 0.16) | 24.52% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41% ( 0.22) | 58.99% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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