Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
43.92% ( -0.17) | 23.72% ( -0.01) | 32.35% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% ( 0.11) | 40.59% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% ( 0.11) | 62.97% ( -0.12) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( -0.03) | 18.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.81% ( -0.04) | 50.18% ( 0.04) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( 0.16) | 24.52% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41% ( 0.22) | 58.99% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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