Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for York City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
41.21% ( 1.06) | 26.16% ( -0.09) | 32.62% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.56% ( 0.15) | 51.43% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.75% ( 0.13) | 73.24% ( -0.13) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( 0.62) | 24.65% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( 0.86) | 59.17% ( -0.86) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.36% ( -0.55) | 29.64% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.32% ( -0.67) | 65.68% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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