Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.