Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Fylde |
51.6% ( 0.01) | 23.91% ( -0) | 24.48% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( 0.01) | 46.6% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.13% ( 0.01) | 68.87% ( -0) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.94% ( 0.01) | 18.06% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.03% ( 0.01) | 48.97% ( -0) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( 0) | 33.18% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( 0) | 69.79% |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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