Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Altrincham |
46.56% ( 0.02) | 23.75% ( 0) | 29.69% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.97% ( -0.03) | 42.02% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.57% ( -0.03) | 64.42% ( 0.03) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.73% ( -0.01) | 18.27% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.67% ( -0.01) | 49.32% ( 0.01) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% ( -0.03) | 26.89% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( -0.04) | 62.21% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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