Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnet in this match.