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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
70.88% ( -0) | 17.01% ( 0) | 12.1% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.17% ( 0) | 35.83% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.08% ( -0) | 57.91% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.03% | 8.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.4% ( -0) | 30.6% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.11% ( 0) | 40.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.54% ( 0) | 77.46% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 5.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.43% 5-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.07% 6-0 @ 1% 5-2 @ 1% Other @ 3.61% Total : 70.88% | 1-1 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.01% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |