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Chesterfield
National League
May 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
FT
(aet)
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Notts County win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Notts County record a penalty-shootout victory over Chesterfield in the National League playoff final to earn promotion to League Two.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley
Sunday, May 7 at 3.40pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
40.28% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 22.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 37.01% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)56.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 40.28%
    Notts County 37.01%
    Draw 22.71%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.01%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Notts County
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Dobra (45'), King (45+4'), Quigley (50'), Sheckleford (73'), Jones (86')
King (64')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Rawlinson (45'), Scott (76'), Jones (90')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
Jun 5, 2021 4pm
Notts County
3-2
Chesterfield
Wootton (30', 71'), Ellis (90')
Ellis (32')
Rowe (27'), Mandeville (42')
Maguire (24'), Oyeleke (32'), Gunning (65')
rhs 2.0
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4Gateshead21115537271038
5Oldham AthleticOldham19107233171637
6Rochdale19103628181033
7Sutton UnitedSutton209472926331
8Yeovil TownYeovil219482422231
9AltrinchamAltrincham208663225730
10Halifax TownHalifax208662119230
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool217862424029
12Solihull MoorsSolihull208483533228
13Eastleigh207762726128
14Southend UnitedSouthend216872424026
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red206773426825
16Tamworth197482233-1125
17Aldershot TownAldershot205782733-622
18Woking2156101928-921
19Braintree TownBraintree2155111828-1020
20WealdstoneWealdstone194781926-719
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2154122643-1719
22Fylde2053122341-1818
23Boston UnitedBoston2136121936-1715
24Ebbsfleet2016131544-299


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