Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
40.28% ( 0.02) | 22.71% ( -0.01) | 37.01% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.44% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.59% ( 0.02) | 34.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.68% ( 0.02) | 56.32% ( -0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% ( 0.01) | 17.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.55% ( 0.03) | 48.45% ( -0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.78% ( -0) | 19.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% ( -0) | 50.9% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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