Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
32.08% ( -0.01) | 22.28% ( -0.01) | 45.64% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.57% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.36% ( 0.02) | 33.65% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.54% ( 0.03) | 55.47% ( -0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( 0) | 21.34% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( 0.01) | 54.31% ( -0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( 0.02) | 15.37% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.84% ( 0.03) | 44.16% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 45.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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