Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Notts County |
11.58% ( 0.02) | 15.32% ( 0.01) | 73.11% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.06% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.44% ( -0.01) | 28.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.56% ( -0.01) | 49.44% ( 0.01) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( 0.03) | 36.66% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( 0.03) | 73.44% ( -0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.25% ( -0.01) | 6.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.05% ( -0.02) | 24.95% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.58% | 1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.32% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 8.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.74% 2-5 @ 1.48% 1-6 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 73.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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