Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Notts County |
11.58% ( 0.02) | 15.32% ( 0.01) | 73.11% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.06% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.44% ( -0.01) | 28.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.56% ( -0.01) | 49.44% ( 0.01) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( 0.03) | 36.66% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( 0.03) | 73.44% ( -0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.25% ( -0.01) | 6.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.05% ( -0.02) | 24.95% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.58% | 1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.32% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 8.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.95% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.74% 2-5 @ 1.48% 1-6 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 73.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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