Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 78.34%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Maidstone United |
78.34% ( -0.11) | 13.53% ( 0.07) | 8.12% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.91% ( -0.25) | 31.09% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.5% ( -0.29) | 52.49% ( 0.29) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.66% ( -0.08) | 6.33% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.19% ( -0.2) | 23.8% ( 0.2) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.83% ( -0.11) | 45.17% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.93% ( -0.08) | 81.07% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Maidstone United |
2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.97% Total : 78.33% | 1-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.54% | 1-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 8.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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