Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 12.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.