Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
37.58% | 26.08% | 36.34% |
Both teams to score 53.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% | 50.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.56% | 72.44% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% | 26.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% | 61.27% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% | 26.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% | 62.21% |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |