Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.