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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Hartlepool United

Eastleigh
1 - 1
Hartlepool

Maguire (78' pen.)
Reeves (61'), McCallum (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grey (19')
Parkes (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Eastleigh and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Eastleigh 1-2 Hartlepool United

Eastleigh's one win in eight home games does not bode well against a team that has netted in every away match in 2024. While Phillips's away run remains a small sample size, backing them to nick a win is logical, having claimed seven points from a possible 12 under the former top-flight striker. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
EastleighDrawHartlepool United
26.89% (0.044 0.04) 22.86% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 50.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.74% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)62.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.037000000000006 0.04)63.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)16.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)45.36% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 26.89%
    Hartlepool United 50.25%
    Draw 22.86%
EastleighDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.89%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: Eastleigh vs Hartlepool

Eastleigh
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Hartlepool United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Hartlepool
3-1
Eastleigh
Crawford (8'), Dieseruvwe (54', 65')
Umerah (22')
Maguire (21')
Langston (82')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Hartlepool
0-0
Eastleigh
Odusina (31'), Bloomfield (73'), Liddle (90'), White (90+3')
Odusina (46')
House (31'), Hollands (45+1'), Bird (90'), (90')
Feb 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 10
Eastleigh
2-1
Hartlepool
House (1'), Barnett (27')
Grey (90+1')
White (55'), Ferguson (87')
Jan 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Hartlepool
2-1
Eastleigh
Holohan (51'), Shelton (67')
Smart (52')
Wynter (30')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Eastleigh
1-1
Hartlepool
Hollands (71')
Miley (57'), Green (80')
Toure (11')
Holohan (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379


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