Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City |
61.19% ( -0.57) | 20.25% ( 0.17) | 18.55% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.44% ( -0.16) | 37.55% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.21% ( -0.17) | 59.78% ( 0.17) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% ( -0.2) | 11.86% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.84% ( -0.43) | 37.16% ( 0.43) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.36% ( 0.32) | 33.64% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.71% ( 0.35) | 70.28% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.18% Total : 61.19% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
> National League Full Table |