Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Oxford City |
56.5% ( 0.38) | 22.7% ( -0.14) | 20.79% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.59% ( 0.29) | 45.41% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.26% ( 0.27) | 67.74% ( -0.28) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% ( 0.23) | 15.86% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.93% ( 0.42) | 45.07% ( -0.43) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.09% ( -0.08) | 35.91% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% ( -0.08) | 72.69% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Oxford City |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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