Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Eastleigh |
61.9% ( 0.81) | 20.31% ( -0.16) | 17.78% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.84% ( -0.34) | 39.16% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.51% ( -0.36) | 61.49% ( 0.36) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.84% ( 0.12) | 12.16% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.22% ( 0.26) | 37.78% ( -0.26) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% ( -0.91) | 35.43% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% ( -0.96) | 72.2% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.88% Total : 61.9% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 17.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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