Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
26.11% ( -0.28) | 24.64% ( -0.04) | 49.25% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 54% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.64% ( -0.04) | 48.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.51% ( -0.03) | 70.49% ( 0.03) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( -0.24) | 32.79% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( -0.27) | 69.35% ( 0.27) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( 0.12) | 19.67% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% ( 0.19) | 51.65% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gateshead | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
2 | Rochdale | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 17 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
4 | York City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Eastleigh | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 16 |
6 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Woking | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
16 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 7 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 5 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Fylde | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 |
23 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 2 |
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