Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Gateshead |
28% ( 0.69) | 25.62% ( 0.73) | 46.38% ( -1.43) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( -1.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.86% ( -2.61) | 51.14% ( 2.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.01% ( -2.33) | 72.99% ( 2.33) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% ( -0.84) | 32.77% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% ( -0.95) | 69.33% ( 0.95) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( -1.7) | 22.04% ( 1.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.63% ( -2.64) | 55.37% ( 2.64) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.27% Total : 46.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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