Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
49.55% ( 0.69) | 22.95% ( 0.06) | 27.5% ( -0.74) |
Both teams to score 60.96% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.29% ( -0.82) | 39.71% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.93% ( -0.86) | 62.06% ( 0.86) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% ( -0.06) | 16.25% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.22% ( -0.1) | 45.78% ( 0.11) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% ( -0.93) | 27.21% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.38% ( -1.23) | 62.62% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 31 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
22 | Fylde | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 18 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 9 |
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