Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Gateshead |
31.78% ( -0.49) | 23.83% ( 0.13) | 44.39% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.65% ( -0.79) | 41.35% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% ( -0.81) | 63.75% ( 0.81) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( -0.68) | 25.23% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.02% ( -0.94) | 59.98% ( 0.95) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( -0.16) | 18.89% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.63% ( -0.28) | 50.37% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.78% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.39% Total : 44.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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