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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Gateshead

Sutton
0 - 1
Gateshead


Vaz (38'), Harris (78'), Barbrook (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hannant (53' pen.)
Newton (61'), Oseni (88'), Hannant (90+3'), Booty (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Sutton United and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead
Saturday, October 19 at 3.05pm in National League

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Gateshead

Both teams are in difficult periods heading into this match, however, the visitors will be encouraged by the positive result in their first game under new manager Magnay, which we believe will help them secure a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGateshead
31.78% (-0.49 -0.49) 23.83% (0.125 0.13) 44.39% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 60.64% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65% (-0.79 -0.79)41.35% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (-0.807 -0.81)63.75% (0.811 0.81)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-0.678 -0.68)25.23% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-0.943 -0.94)59.98% (0.947 0.95)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.164 -0.16)18.89% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (-0.277 -0.28)50.37% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.78%
    Gateshead 44.39%
    Draw 23.83%
Sutton UnitedDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.78%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.167 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.39%

How you voted: Sutton vs Gateshead

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Gateshead
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 48
Sutton
4-2
Gateshead
Kearney (51'), Dobson (63' pen.), Beckwith (86', 90')
Dobson (32'), Kearney (45')
Olley (44', 46')
Hunter (14'), Tinkler (45'), Barrow (62')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Gateshead
0-0
Sutton
Tinkler (90'), Molyneux (90')
Beckwith (90'), Clough (90')
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Sutton
1-1
Gateshead
Walton (27' pen.)
Johnson (15' pen.)
Fyfield (54'), Penn (59'), Hanford (95')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Sutton
3-0
Gateshead
Deacon (42'), Biamou (60', 83')
Eastmond (28'), Cadogan (81')

Hannant (35'), Hanford (41'), Fyfield (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City19125237142341
2Forest Green RoversForest Green19125237162141
3Barnet19131540231740
4Gateshead19114435241137
5Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Solihull MoorsSolihull198473532328
9Yeovil TownYeovil198472120128
10AltrinchamAltrincham197662925427
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh196762626025
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool196762224-225
14Tamworth197482233-1125
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red195773124722
16Southend UnitedSouthend195772224-222
17Aldershot TownAldershot195772530-522
18Woking195591926-720
19WealdstoneWealdstone194781926-719
20Braintree TownBraintree1954101523-819
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1944112136-1516
23Boston UnitedBoston1935111932-1314
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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