Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
23.94% ( 0.29) | 22.36% ( 0.02) | 53.69% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 59.37% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.8% ( 0.21) | 40.19% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.43% ( 0.22) | 62.56% ( -0.22) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.84% ( 0.35) | 30.16% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.69% ( 0.42) | 66.31% ( -0.42) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.01% ( -0.03) | 14.99% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.56% ( -0.06) | 43.44% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.94% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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