Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.