Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 58.7%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
58.7% ( -0.97) | 20.57% ( 0.47) | 20.74% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.34% ( -1.53) | 35.65% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.28% ( -1.71) | 57.71% ( 1.71) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.03% ( -0.74) | 11.97% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.63% ( -1.59) | 37.37% ( 1.59) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.44) | 30.38% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( -0.52) | 66.57% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.48% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 20.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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