Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.