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Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Maidenhead United

Sutton
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Barbrook (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Latty-Fairweather (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Sutton United and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-4 Forest Green
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Maidenhead United

 With neither side in good form, we expect this contest to develop into somewhat of a battle of attrition. Nevertheless, Sutton still possess the greater quality in their squad, and that may come to the fore during the latter stages if the visitors have a chance of earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
39.27% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 24.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.88% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)45.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)22.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (0.067 0.07)56.78% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.84% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.44% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.27%
    Maidenhead United 35.79%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head
May 15, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 54
Maidenhead
0-3
Sutton

Ofori-Twumasi (46'), Massey (70')
Ajiboye (65'), Olaofe (79'), John (90+3')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
3-0
Maidenhead
Bugiel (17'), Eastmond (35'), Callum (83')
Dundas (76')
Apr 25, 2020 5.20pm
Gameweek 56
Maidenhead
P-P
Sutton
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sutton
0-3
Maidenhead

Davis (8')
Bugiel (82')
S (61'), Whitehall (79', 90+5')
Cassidy (8'), Steer (71'), Cassidy (75')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Maidenhead
1-0
Sutton
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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