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Aldershot Town
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Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
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Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Maidenhead United

Sutton
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Barbrook (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Sutton United and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Maidenhead United

With neither side in good form, we expect this contest to develop into somewhat of a battle of attrition. Nevertheless, Sutton still possess the greater quality in their squad, and that may come to the fore during the latter stages if the visitors have a chance of earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
39.27% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 24.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.88% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (0.034999999999997 0.03)45.46% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.049000000000007 0.05)22.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (0.067 0.07)56.78% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.84% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.44% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.27%
    Maidenhead United 35.79%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMaidenhead United
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head
May 15, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 54
Maidenhead
0-3
Sutton

Ofori-Twumasi (46'), Massey (70')
Ajiboye (65'), Olaofe (79'), John (90+3')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
3-0
Maidenhead
Bugiel (17'), Eastmond (35'), Callum (83')
Dundas (76')
Apr 25, 2020 5.20pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sutton
0-3
Maidenhead

Davis (8')
Bugiel (82')
S (61'), Whitehall (79', 90+5')
Cassidy (8'), Steer (71'), Cassidy (75')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet40287584335191
2York City40248877374080
3Forest Green RoversForest Green402015560352575
4Oldham AthleticOldham401715857411666
5Halifax TownHalifax401712114637963
6Rochdale381791256381860
7Gateshead401791467571060
8Southend UnitedSouthend401514115146559
9AltrinchamAltrincham401512136051957
10Tamworth401512135458-457
11Eastleigh401314135351253
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool401216124949052
13Yeovil TownYeovil401410164551-652
14Sutton UnitedSutton391312145153-251
15Aldershot TownAldershot391214136165-450
16Solihull MoorsSolihull40139185460-648
17Braintree TownBraintree40139184553-848
18Woking391015144052-1245
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red401013175157-643
20Boston UnitedBoston391110184558-1343
21WealdstoneWealdstone391012174867-1942
22Fylde39116224671-2539
23Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead40108224471-2738
24Ebbsfleet40213253285-5319


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