National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
4 - 0
Scunthorpe

Chicksen (8'), Richards-Everton (11' og.), Langstaff (73', 76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Butterfield (14'), Smith (31'), Bennett (80'), Elliott (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Notts County and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Scunthorpe United

All competitions

Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Notts County 3-0 Scunthorpe United

Notts County have an imperious home record, and Luke Williams will see this game as a must-win in order to keep the pressure on Wrexham at the top. Scunthorpe have not won on their travels since January 25, so we are expecting a comfortable win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 80.8%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 6.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Scunthorpe United
80.8%	12.36%	6.84%

Both teams to score 49.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.82%

30.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.6%

51.4%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.3%

5.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.98%

22.02%

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3%

47.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99%

83.01%

Score Analysis

Notts County 80.79%

Scunthorpe United 6.84%

Draw 12.36%

Notts County	Draw	Scunthorpe United
2-0 @ 11.15% 3-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 7.89% 1-0 @ 7.79% 4-0 @ 7.63% 4-1 @ 5.65% 5-0 @ 4.37% 5-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 2.09% 6-0 @ 2.09% 6-1 @ 1.55% 5-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.33% Total : 80.79%	1-1 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 3.06% 0-0 @ 2.72% Other @ 0.82% Total : 12.36%	1-2 @ 2.13% 0-1 @ 2.01% Other @ 2.7% Total : 6.84%