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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 11, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Torquay United

Oldham
3 - 2
Torquay Utd

Crowe (11' og.), Tollitt (64'), Abraham (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Goodwin (52'), Jarvis (68' pen.)
Goodwin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League

Torquay United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 1-1 Torquay United

 There is not too much separating the teams in the league standings, so we expect them to play out a score draw on Sunday. Torquay have been in better recent form, and may have a slight edge, but with the game being at Boundary Park, Oldham should be able to do enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawTorquay United
51.88% (0.486 0.49) 24.31% (-0.084 -0.08) 23.81% (-0.397 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.19 0.19)18.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.312 0.31)50.28% (-0.308 -0.31)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)35.04% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (-0.372 -0.37)71.78% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 51.87%
    Torquay United 23.81%
    Draw 24.31%
Oldham AthleticDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Oldham vs Torquay Utd

Oldham Athletic
38.9%
Draw
22.2%
Torquay United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
0-0
Oldham

Ali (30'), Marshall (50'), McGavin (67'), Wyatt (71')

Hogan (43'), Gardner (55')
Gardner (74')
Apr 23, 2005 3pm
Oldham
1-2
Torquay Utd
Eyres (25')
Owen (51'), Killen (70')
Hockley (41'), Akinfenwa (49')
Hill (76')
Nov 6, 2004 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-0
Oldham
Gritton (71'), Constantine (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City24156348202851
2Forest Green RoversForest Green25149244212351
3Barnet25155551302150
4Gateshead25145649321747
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2512584536941
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9Yeovil TownYeovil26106103230236
10Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
11AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
12Eastleigh2581163533235
13Sutton UnitedSutton259793433134
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2678112737-1029
18Aldershot TownAldershot25510103543-825
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2565142336-1323
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2565143149-1823
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2437142140-1916
24Ebbsfleet2617181962-4310
> National League Full Table


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