Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | York City |
31.52% ( -0.02) | 25.2% ( -0.01) | 43.28% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.32% ( 0.02) | 47.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.12% ( 0.02) | 69.88% ( -0.02) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% ( -0) | 28.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( -0) | 64.28% ( 0.01) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% ( 0.02) | 22% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% ( 0.03) | 55.31% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |