MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 15:47:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 21
Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
3 - 0
Tamworth

Gilmour (73'), Gordon (80'), Rodney (87')
Barlow (59'), East (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tonks (68'), Crompton (70')
Cullinane-Liburd (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Rochdale and Tamworth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 York City
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Tamworth

Tamworth are capable of making this a tricky match for Rochdale, and we are not expecting it to be a routine home success for the Dale, but McNulty's side should be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawTamworth
53.64% (-0.316 -0.32) 23.27% (0.442 0.44) 23.08% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.21% (-1.642 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (-2.101 -2.1)45.22% (2.099 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.44% (-2.043 -2.04)67.56% (2.041 2.04)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (-0.864 -0.86)16.79% (0.863 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (-1.565 -1.57)46.76% (1.563 1.56)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-1.271 -1.27)33.65% (1.269 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-1.408 -1.41)70.3% (1.406 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 53.64%
    Tamworth 23.08%
    Draw 23.27%
RochdaleDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.605 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.291 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 5.35% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.215 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.64%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.493 0.49)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.339 0.34)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 23.08%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Tamworth

Rochdale
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Tamworth
8.3%
12
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet22152546252147
2York City22136344202445
3Forest Green RoversForest Green21136239172245
4Gateshead22125541271441
5Oldham AthleticOldham20117236191740
6Rochdale21113731191236
7AltrinchamAltrincham229763628834
8Yeovil TownYeovil2210482723434
9Halifax TownHalifax229762522334
10Solihull MoorsSolihull229583835332
11Sutton UnitedSutton229582927232
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool227962424030
13Eastleigh217862928129
14Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red217773526928
15Southend UnitedSouthend226972424027
16Tamworth217592337-1426
17Aldershot TownAldershot2257103139-822
18Fylde2264122743-1622
19Woking2256111932-1321
20WealdstoneWealdstone214892432-820
21Braintree TownBraintree2255121931-1220
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2255122744-1720
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2216151650-349


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