Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
53.4% ( -0.81) | 23.95% ( -0.39) | 22.64% ( 1.21) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( 2.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.41% ( 2.87) | 48.59% ( -2.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% ( 2.56) | 70.71% ( -2.55) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( 0.78) | 18.13% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.92% ( 1.31) | 49.08% ( -1.3) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( 2.78) | 35.92% ( -2.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% ( 2.75) | 72.7% ( -2.74) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.65) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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