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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Boreham Wood

Wrexham
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

Lee (15'), Mullin (52', 71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ndlovu (1')
Ilesanmi (30')

The Match

Match Report

Wrexham are crowned champions of the National League courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Boreham Wood, earning promotion to League Two in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Boreham Wood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
70.26% (4.088 4.09) 17.92% (-1.293 -1.29) 11.83% (-2.795 -2.8)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-3.745 -3.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-0.758 -0.76)40.95% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (-0.778 -0.78)63.34% (0.777 0.78)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.53% (0.842 0.84)10.47% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.91% (1.871 1.87)34.09% (-1.871 -1.87)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-4.749 -4.75)44.72% (4.748 4.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (-4.085 -4.09)80.71% (4.084 4.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 70.25%
    Boreham Wood 11.83%
    Draw 17.92%
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
2-0 @ 11.92% (1.19 1.19)
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.706 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-0 @ 8.97% (1.169 1.17)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.81 0.81)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.375 -0.38)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.432 0.43)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 70.25%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.654 -0.65)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.722 -0.72)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 11.83%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Boreham Wood

Wrexham
93.8%
Draw
3.1%
Boreham Wood
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 15
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Newton (30')
Hayden (52')
Jones (32')
May 2, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Boreham Wood
1-1
Wrexham
Marsh (89' pen.)
Evans (41')
Fyfield (38')
Mullin (54')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Wrexham
4-2
Boreham Wood
Palmer (15'), Hayden (61'), Jones (66'), Mullin (70')
Boden (38'), Marsh (68')
Stephens (32'), Boden (38'), Smith (42')
May 15, 2021 3pm
gameweek 53
Boreham Wood
2-3
Wrexham
Smith (18'), Tshimanga (45')
Champion (30'), Fyfield (90')
Champion (74')
Hall-Johnson (59', 88'), Ponticelli (86')
Lainton (57')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
gameweek 3
Wrexham
2-1
Boreham Wood
Hall-Johnson (27'), Young (69')
(8'), Vassell (36'), Hall-Johnson (60')
Murtagh (60')
Ricketts (45'), Murtagh (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet29186559302960
2Forest Green RoversForest Green281511246222456
3York City27166552252754
4Gateshead28147751361549
5Oldham AthleticOldham26129543291445
6Rochdale24133838211742
7AltrinchamAltrincham27119744321242
8Halifax TownHalifax2611963124742
9Solihull MoorsSolihull28125114540541
10Sutton UnitedSutton2811893936341
11Southend UnitedSouthend2810993330339
12Eastleigh2891183736138
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2891183334-138
14Yeovil TownYeovil29108113335-238
15Tamworth2697103143-1234
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red2688104036432
17Woking28710112939-1031
18Aldershot TownAldershot28612104248-630
19Braintree TownBraintree2886142738-1130
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2875163557-2226
21WealdstoneWealdstone26510113140-925
22Fylde2774163256-2425
23Boston UnitedBoston2647152444-2019
24Ebbsfleet2919192165-4412


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