Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Boreham Wood |
70.26% ( 4.09) | 17.92% ( -1.29) | 11.83% ( -2.8) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -3.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.04% ( -0.76) | 40.95% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.66% ( -0.78) | 63.34% ( 0.78) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.53% ( 0.84) | 10.47% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.91% ( 1.87) | 34.09% ( -1.87) |
Boreham Wood Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.27% ( -4.75) | 44.72% ( 4.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.28% ( -4.09) | 80.71% ( 4.08) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Boreham Wood |
2-0 @ 11.92% ( 1.19) 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( 1.17) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.81) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.38) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.43) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) Other @ 4.19% Total : 70.25% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.92% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.72) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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