Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.