Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.