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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Wales national football team

Netherlands
3 - 2
Wales

Lang (17'), Gakpo (23'), Depay (90+3')
Martins Indi (21'), Koopmeiners (32')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Johnson (26'), Bale (90+2' pen.)
Mepham (75'), Ampadu (80'), Roberts (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Netherlands and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Netherlands could line up against Wales in the UEFA Nations League.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

Last Six:
Last Game: Netherlands 2-2 Poland
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Wales

Last Six:
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Belgium
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Netherlands 2-1 Wales

 Wales are more than capable of causing problems for the Netherlands, and we are expecting a tight match on Tuesday night. Holland will be determined to bounce back from what was a disappointing performance against Poland, though, and we believe that Van Gaal's side will again record a 2-1 win over Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Wales had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawWales
60.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.12% (0.004999999999999 0) 16.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 45.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.89% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.24% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)47.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)80.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 60.16%
    Wales 16.7%
    Draw 23.12%
NetherlandsDrawWales
1-0 @ 13.61%
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.48%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.7%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Wales

Netherlands
82.4%
Draw
8.8%
Wales
8.8%
125
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Wales
1-2
Netherlands
Norrington-Davies (90+2')
Koopmeiners (50'), Weghorst (90+4')
Teze (3')
Jun 6, 2020 6.30pm
Netherlands
P-P
Wales
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
Wales
2-3
Netherlands
> Match Report
Jun 4, 2014 7.30pm
Netherlands
2-0
Wales
Robben (32'), Lens (76')
> Match Report
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