Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 43.11%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (10.7%).
-0.02) 
0.29) 
