Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Luxembourg2 - 2N. Ireland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Luxembourg 0-3 Northern Ireland
The visitors have been rampant goalscorers of late, and there is no reason to suggest that they would succumb to last-placed Luxembourg. It would not be surprising if Northern Ireland scored multiple times on Monday and earned promotion to League B of the Nations League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Northern Ireland |
45.19% ( 1.38) | 28% ( -0.27) | 26.8% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.41% ( 0.37) | 60.58% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.31% ( 0.28) | 80.68% ( -0.28) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.89) | 26.78% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.93% ( 1.17) | 62.06% ( -1.17) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.73) | 38.85% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.42% ( -0.69) | 75.58% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Luxembourg 45.18%
Northern Ireland 26.8%
Draw 28%
| Luxembourg | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.8% |
How you voted: Luxembourg vs N. Ireland
Luxembourg
14.3%Draw
4.5%Northern Ireland
81.3%112
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
Sep 10, 2013 7.15pm
Qualifiers
Luxembourg
3-2
N. Ireland
Sep 11, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
