MX23RW : Monday, January 13 07:37:37| >> :600:2738347:2738347:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Montenegro national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Finland national football team

Montenegro
0 - 2
Finland


Tomasevic (9'), Vujacic (12'), Jovetic (18'), Vesovic (19'), Durdevic (67')
Tomasevic (17'), Radunovic (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antman (47'), Kallman (53')
Kairinen (24'), Hostikka (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Montenegro and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-1 Romania
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Montenegro 2-1 Finland

 Given the contrasting pressure on the two nations, this game may come down to how Finland approach getting the result that they require. That said, we cannot ignore that Montenegro deserve to be regarded as favourites on home territory, and we feel that they will run out winners by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Finland had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
MontenegroDrawFinland
38.28% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 24.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 37.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.62% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)43.27% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.34% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)65.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.08% (0.073 0.07)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)56.89% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 38.28%
    Finland 37.22%
    Draw 24.49%
MontenegroDrawFinland
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.28%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.22%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Finland

Montenegro
59.0%
Draw
15.7%
Finland
25.3%
166
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2022 5pm
League B3
Finland
2-0
Montenegro
Pohjanpalo (31', 38')

Sipcic (71')
rhs 2.0
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