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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Sweden national football team

Norway
3 - 2
Sweden

Braut Haaland (10', 54' pen.), Sorloth (77')
Odegaard (40'), Skiri Oestigaard (56'), Berge (64'), Holmgren Pedersen (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forsberg (62'), Gyokeres (90+5')
Kulusevski (8'), Krafth (56'), Gudmundsson (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Norway and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

Last Six:
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Sweden

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Norway 3-1 Sweden

 While Sweden have talented attacking options who could cause problems for Norway in the final third, we feel that Haaland and co will have plenty of joy against the visitors' weakened backline. Andersson's men cannot really afford to lose on Sunday if they are to keep the promotion hopes alive, but considering the form and firepower that Norway possess, a home victory could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
NorwayDrawSweden
47.86% (-0.061 -0.06) 22.92% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.22% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 62.45% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.67%38.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)16.35% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)45.95% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)25.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.047999999999995 0.05)60.13% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Norway 47.86%
    Sweden 29.22%
    Draw 22.91%
NorwayDrawSweden
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.86%
1-1 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Norway vs Sweden

Norway
70.8%
Draw
15.0%
Sweden
14.2%
113
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 7.45pm
League B4
Sweden
1-2
Norway
Elanga (90+2')
Krafth (18'), Isak (34'), Svanberg (45'), Kulusevski (90'), Olsen (90+1')
Braut Haaland (20' pen., 69')
Holmgren Pedersen (42')
Sep 8, 2019 7.45pm
Group F
Sweden
1-1
Norway
Forsberg (60')
Ekdal (66'), Larsson (70')
Johansen (45')
Henriksen (44')
Mar 26, 2019 7.45pm
Group F
Norway
3-3
Sweden
Johnsen (41'), King (59'), Kamara (96')
Selnaes (28'), Nordtveit (53'), Johnsen (63'), Ajer (69')
Claesson (70'), Nordtveit (86' og.), Quaison (91')
Olsson (29'), Claesson (55'), Helander (73')
Jun 13, 2017 6.45pm
Norway
1-1
Sweden
Elyounoussi (44')
Svensson (11'), Trondsen (72')
Armenteros (81')
Aug 14, 2013 7pm
Sweden
4-2
Norway
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