MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 05:24:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 1
Glenavon

Birney (70' og.)
Cherry (9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wallace (88')
Snoddy (19'), Garrett (58'), O'Connor (75'), O'Connor (77'), Hamilton (89')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 1-0 Carrick
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
32.81% (0.35 0.35) 23.24% (-0.132 -0.13) 43.95% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 63.28% (0.645 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.91% (0.786 0.79)38.09% (-0.778 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.64% (0.832 0.83)60.36% (-0.824 -0.82)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.57599999999999 0.58)23.06% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.833 0.83)56.89% (-0.825 -0.83)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.232 0.23)17.76% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.54% (0.394 0.39)48.46% (-0.386 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 32.81%
    Glenavon 43.95%
    Draw 23.24%
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.81%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.073 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.79% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 43.95%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
McGuckin (38')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-0
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (66'), Singleton (79')
McCloskey (21'), O'Connor (60'), Singleton (71')

Ervin (21'), Chambers (90'), Kelly (90+3')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-2
Glenavon
Tilney (33'), Gibson (79')
Gordon (64'), Kalla (85')
Snoddy (90+1'), Fitzpatrick (90+4')
Hall (24'), Singleton (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield23163443162751
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2412393427739
3GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
4PortadownPortadown2311482923637
5LarneLarne189542213932
6CliftonvilleCliftonville229492825331
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena22101112729-231
8CrusadersCrusaders2494112835-731
9ColeraineColeraine228683733430
10GlenavonGlenavon2367102130-925
11Carrick RangersCarrick2256112033-1321
12Loughgall2434172457-3313


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!