NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Carrick1 - 1Glenavon
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coleraine 1-0 Carrick
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Glenavon 1-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
32.81% ( 0.35) | 23.24% ( -0.13) | 43.95% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 63.28% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.91% ( 0.79) | 38.09% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.64% ( 0.83) | 60.36% ( -0.82) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.58) | 23.06% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( 0.83) | 56.89% ( -0.83) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% ( 0.23) | 17.76% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.54% ( 0.39) | 48.46% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers 32.81%
Glenavon 43.95%
Draw 23.24%
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.81% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 43.95% |
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
McGuckin (38')
McGuckin (38')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon
Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Glenavon
2-0
Carrick
Ervin (21'), Chambers (90'), Kelly (90+3')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-2
Glenavon
Tilney (33'), Gibson (79')
Gordon (64'), Kalla (85')
Gordon (64'), Kalla (85')
Snoddy (90+1'), Fitzpatrick (90+4')
Hall (24'), Singleton (29')
Hall (24'), Singleton (29')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-15 05:00:22
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LinfieldLinfield | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 51 |
2 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 39 |
3 | GlentoranGlentoran | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 38 |
4 | PortadownPortadown | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 37 |
5 | LarneLarne | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 32 |
6 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 31 |
8 | CrusadersCrusaders | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 31 |
9 | ColeraineColeraine | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 30 |
10 | GlenavonGlenavon | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 25 |
11 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 21 |
12 | Loughgall | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 13 |
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