Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.