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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
4 - 0
Carrick

McGovern (33'), Dillon (38'), Mitchell (70'), Boyd (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Forsythe (16')
Crowe (39')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dungannon Swifts

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Dungannon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
55.41% (-0.363 -0.36) 22.07% (0.07 0.07) 22.51% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.027999999999999 0.03)40.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)62.84% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.52% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.46% (-0.205 -0.2)42.54% (0.207 0.21)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.274 0.27)31.52% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.316 0.32)67.91% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 55.41%
    Carrick Rangers 22.51%
    Draw 22.07%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 22.51%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Galvin (13'), Dillon (17', 22')
Maguire (90+1'), Dunne (90+6')
Cherry (52'), Purkis (62')
Stewart (84')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Purkis (45+4'), Cushley (61' pen.)
Cushley (44'), Cherry (63')
Forsythe (82')
Bigirimana (70')
Hegarty (45+1'), Scott (47'), Dunne (60'), Taggart (85')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Dungannon
2-3
Carrick
Curry (14'), Marron (82')
Galvin (33'), Owens (51'), Marron (73')
Allen (51' pen.), Macuilaitis (60', 66')
Glendinning (33'), Cushley (34'), Forsythe (57'), Macuilaitis (90+3')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Marron (16' og.), Cushley (90' pen.)
Cushley (28'), Crowe (63')
Moore (32')
Glenny (10'), Lusty (78'), Devine (89')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
2-0
Dungannon
Cushley (21' pen., 75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield25183448183057
2GlentoranGlentoran2412573021941
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon26124103731640
4PortadownPortadown25114103229337
5CrusadersCrusaders26114113337-437
6LarneLarne19105424141035
7CliftonvilleCliftonville24104103127434
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena24102122831-332
9ColeraineColeraine248793836231
10GlenavonGlenavon2587102633-731
11Carrick RangersCarrick2457122135-1422
12Loughgall2634192561-3613
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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