Carrick

2 - 3

Glentoran

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 63.41%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.