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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
 

Newry City AFC
0 - 2
Carrick


(40'), (61')
Hughes (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGuckin (27', 47')
Gawne (30')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-0 Larne
Sunday, January 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-1 Glenavon
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
40.41% (-0.654 -0.65) 25.76% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 33.83% (0.71100000000001 0.71)
Both teams to score 54.66% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.398 0.4)49.46% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.358 0.36)71.5% (-0.357 -0.36)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (-0.158 -0.16)24.19% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (-0.225 -0.23)58.52% (0.227 0.23)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.64 0.64)27.9% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.808 0.81)63.52% (-0.808 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 40.41%
    Carrick Rangers 33.83%
    Draw 25.76%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.087 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.83%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Newry City AFC
4-1
Carrick
Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
(45+1')
Mitchell (41')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Newry City AFC
Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield29214454213367
2GlentoranGlentoran26145733221147
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon28134114033743
4CrusadersCrusaders29134123840-243
5PortadownPortadown28126103732542
6LarneLarne2411672720739
7CliftonvilleCliftonville28116113732539
8ColeraineColeraine2798104038235
9GlenavonGlenavon2697102934-534
10Ballymena UnitedBallymena26103133136-533
11Carrick RangersCarrick2857162344-2122
12Loughgall2734202562-3713


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