MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 06:39:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 

Newry City AFC
4 - 1
Carrick

Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
(45+1'), Donnelly (64'), Rocks (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (41')
(82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 3-2 Ballymena
Tuesday, November 8 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
44.92% (0.378 0.38) 24.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 30.13% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.067999999999998 0.07)47.17% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.41% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.19799999999999 0.2)21.04% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.305 0.31)53.84% (-0.304 -0.3)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)29.18% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.233 -0.23)65.12% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 44.92%
    Carrick Rangers 30.13%
    Draw 24.94%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Newry City AFC
Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield23163443162751
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2412393427739
3GlentoranGlentoran2311572820838
4PortadownPortadown2311482923637
5LarneLarne189542213932
6CliftonvilleCliftonville229492825331
7Ballymena UnitedBallymena22101112729-231
8CrusadersCrusaders2494112835-731
9ColeraineColeraine228683733430
10GlenavonGlenavon2367102130-925
11Carrick RangersCarrick2256112033-1321
12Loughgall2434172457-3313


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