Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 3-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.