Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-23s win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Burnley Under-23s had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace Under-23s would win this match.