Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.